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EUR/USD1.09200.00%
GBP/USD1.26500.00%
USD/JPY154.300.00%
Or (XAU)3,0500.00%
BTC/USD95,4200.00%
Argent (XAG)71.000.00%
SP 5005,6500.00%
CAC 407,9500.00%
EUR/USD1.09200.00%
GBP/USD1.26500.00%
USD/JPY154.300.00%
Or (XAU)3,0500.00%
BTC/USD95,4200.00%
Argent (XAG)71.000.00%
SP 5005,6500.00%
CAC 407,9500.00%
AT
ActuTrading

EUR/USD: analysis, forecasts and news

The most traded pair in the world (24% of daily forex volumes). Here we decode euro moves against the dollar: ECB and Fed decisions, NFP, macro data. Updated continuously.

Why does EUR/USD move so much?

EUR/USD reacts mainly to 4 factors:

  1. Fed/ECB rate differential: when the Fed hikes faster, USD strengthens → EUR/USD falls.
  2. US macro data (NFP on the 1st Friday of the month, CPI, GDP) → every surprise creates volatility.
  3. ECB announcements (meetings every 6 weeks) and Christine Lagarde's tone.
  4. Global risk sentiment: when markets panic, USD becomes a safe haven → EUR/USD falls.

Key technical levels to watch

Pro traders watch a few psychological and technical levels:

  • Parity (1.00): rare but possible in a USD crisis.
  • Historical supports: 1.05 and 1.0450 (2022-2023 lows).
  • Resistances: 1.10, 1.12 and 1.1480 (2023 high).
  • 50 and 200-day moving averages on the weekly chart.

When these levels break with volume, moves accelerate.

How to trade EUR/USD without getting caught

3 basic rules:

  1. Never enter a big trade before a major announcement (NFP, FOMC, ECB). Spread explodes, price gaps.
  2. Trade in the direction of the rate differential, not against. If Fed hikes and ECB stays, sell euros.
  3. Respect your stop loss. EUR/USD can move 100 pips in 1 minute on a surprise announcement.

Latest news on EUR/USD: analysis, forecasts and news(20)

Gold is approaching $4,500, buoyed by central bank purchases
Forex

Gold is approaching $4,500, buoyed by central bank purchases

Gold is hovering near the $4,500 resistance level, driven by massive central bank purchases and weakening expectations of U.S. rate hikes.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 25 jours
Gold Stabilizes as Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and Anticipation of Employment Data Take Center Stage
Économie

Gold Stabilizes as Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and Anticipation of Employment Data Take Center Stage

Gold is treading water amid tensions in the Middle East, while traders are closely watching the upcoming U.S. jobs data to adjust their positions regarding the Fed.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 1 mois
The Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged and Re-Ranks Three Stocks to the Top of the List
Économie

The Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged and Re-Ranks Three Stocks to the Top of the List

With key interest rates held steady, certain sectors are enjoying a newfound stability. Traders are reassessing profitable positions in a monetary environment that is stabilizing.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 1 mois
Gold Falls Against the Dollar; All Eyes on the Fed
Forex

Gold Falls Against the Dollar; All Eyes on the Fed

Gold is losing ground as the greenback remains strong. All eyes are on the Federal Reserve meeting.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 2 mois
The market is waiting for the Fed and keeping a close eye on the $64,000 mark
Forex

The market is waiting for the Fed and keeping a close eye on the $64,000 mark

Bitcoin remains above $64,000 as traders hold their breath ahead of the Fed's monetary policy meeting this week.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 2 mois
Gold Surpasses $4,000 Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Économie

Gold Surpasses $4,000 Amid Geopolitical Tensions

The price of gold has just surpassed the $4,000 mark. Tensions in the Middle East and expectations regarding the Fed's monetary policy are driving up the price of gold.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 2 mois
Gold Falls Back Below $4,000 Amid Tensions Over Iran and the Fed
Matières Premières

Gold Falls Back Below $4,000 Amid Tensions Over Iran and the Fed

Gold is losing ground and has fallen back below the symbolic $4,000 mark as tensions in the Middle East reignite inflation fears and dampen hopes for a rate cut by the Fed.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 2 mois
Will the ECB raise interest rates again in 2026?
Économie

Will the ECB raise interest rates again in 2026?

As inflation remains stubbornly high in the eurozone, the question of another ECB rate hike is resurfacing. We break down the signals.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 2 mois
EUR/USD Wipes Out Its NFP Gains Ahead of the U.S. CPI Release
Économie

EUR/USD Wipes Out Its NFP Gains Ahead of the U.S. CPI Release

The euro-dollar exchange rate has fallen back to 1.1437 after giving up its NFP gains. The market is holding its breath ahead of this week's U.S. inflation report.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 2 mois
Kevin Warsh promises the Fed will remain unyielding in the face of inflation
Économie

Kevin Warsh promises the Fed will remain unyielding in the face of inflation

The Fed's new chair warns: zero tolerance for inflation above 2%. A clear signal to the markets, which had been anticipating easing.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 2 mois
The dollar is down for the week following the release of U.S. employment figures
Forex

The dollar is down for the week following the release of U.S. employment figures

Disappointing U.S. employment data is causing the dollar to fall and pushing back the prospect of another Fed rate hike. The EUR/USD is benefiting from this.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 2 mois
The Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged despite bets on a rate hike
Économie

The Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged despite bets on a rate hike

UBS expects the Fed to hold rates steady despite market expectations of a rate hike. Kevin Warsh downplays the inflation risk, but traders remain hesitant.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 2 mois
Eurozone inflation falls more than expected, putting the brakes on the ECB
Économie

Eurozone inflation falls more than expected, putting the brakes on the ECB

Inflation in the eurozone is slowing more than expected. The European Central Bank may adopt a more cautious stance in the coming months.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 2 mois
Bitcoin Holds Above $60,000 Despite ETF Redemptions
Crypto

Bitcoin Holds Above $60,000 Despite ETF Redemptions

Bitcoin is holding steady above $60,000 as ETFs see massive outflows and expectations regarding the Fed weigh on market sentiment.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 3 mois
Eurozone households are betting on a decline in inflation
Économie

Eurozone households are betting on a decline in inflation

The ECB survey shows that eurozone consumers now expect lower inflation in 2027. This marks a major psychological turning point for the euro and interest rates.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 3 mois
Gold Falls to a 7-Month Low Against the Dollar, Boosted by the Fed
Économie

Gold Falls to a 7-Month Low Against the Dollar, Boosted by the Fed

Gold hits its lowest level since November 2025 following the Fed's hawkish signals. The dollar is taking advantage of this to dominate the foreign exchange market.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 3 mois
Gold Retreats Toward $4,000 as the Dollar Gains Ground
Forex

Gold Retreats Toward $4,000 as the Dollar Gains Ground

The yellow metal is losing ground under pressure from a dollar bolstered by expectations of monetary tightening by the Fed.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 3 mois
Trump and Meloni Clash Over Italy's Stance on Iran
Forex

Trump and Meloni Clash Over Italy's Stance on Iran

The U.S. president and the Italian prime minister are trading sharp criticism over Rome's stance on the conflict in Iran. The markets are watching closely.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 3 mois
Citigroup Rules Out Fed Rate Cuts and Targets September 2026
Économie

Citigroup Rules Out Fed Rate Cuts and Targets September 2026

The New York-based bank is revising its strategy in response to the Federal Reserve's tightening. The markets will have to wait until the fall of 2026 to see rates fall.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 3 mois
The dollar hits a two-month high against the yen, which is plummeting
Forex

The dollar hits a two-month high against the yen, which is plummeting

The dollar is climbing to its highest level in two months as expectations of a Fed rate hike grow. The Japanese yen is taking a hit.

Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 3 mois

Frequently asked questions

What's the value of 1 pip on EUR/USD?+
On a standard lot (€100,000), 1 pip = $10. On a mini lot (€10,000), 1 pip = $1. On a micro lot (€1,000), 1 pip = $0.10. It's independent of the EUR/USD rate itself.
What's the best time to trade EUR/USD?+
The best hours are the London-New York overlap: 8am-11am EST. That's when volumes and volatility peak. Avoid Asian hours (6pm-1am EST) where spreads are often wider.
Will EUR/USD rise in 2026?+
Nobody can predict with certainty. Bullish factors: Fed rate cuts, eurozone recovery. Bearish factors: strong US growth, European energy crisis. Check our regular analysis in the news section below.
What's the difference between EUR/USD and USD/EUR?+
USD/EUR doesn't officially exist. By convention, the quote is always EUR/USD (euro is the base currency). If EUR/USD = 1.08, that means 1 euro = 1.08 dollars.
Why is EUR/USD the most traded pair?+
Because euro and dollar together represent ~60% of world GDP. Major central banks (Fed, ECB) publish data in near real-time, both zones have mature financial markets, and the pair is highly liquid (very tight spreads).