Économie
Will the ECB raise interest rates again in 2026?
As inflation remains stubbornly high in the eurozone, the question of another ECB rate hike is resurfacing. We break down the signals.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 8 jours
EUR/USD: analysis, forecasts and news
The most traded pair in the world (24% of daily forex volumes). Here we decode euro moves against the dollar: ECB and Fed decisions, NFP, macro data. Updated continuously.
Why does EUR/USD move so much?
EUR/USD reacts mainly to 4 factors:
- Fed/ECB rate differential: when the Fed hikes faster, USD strengthens → EUR/USD falls.
- US macro data (NFP on the 1st Friday of the month, CPI, GDP) → every surprise creates volatility.
- ECB announcements (meetings every 6 weeks) and Christine Lagarde's tone.
- Global risk sentiment: when markets panic, USD becomes a safe haven → EUR/USD falls.
Key technical levels to watch
Pro traders watch a few psychological and technical levels:
- Parity (1.00): rare but possible in a USD crisis.
- Historical supports: 1.05 and 1.0450 (2022-2023 lows).
- Resistances: 1.10, 1.12 and 1.1480 (2023 high).
- 50 and 200-day moving averages on the weekly chart.
When these levels break with volume, moves accelerate.
How to trade EUR/USD without getting caught
3 basic rules:
- Never enter a big trade before a major announcement (NFP, FOMC, ECB). Spread explodes, price gaps.
- Trade in the direction of the rate differential, not against. If Fed hikes and ECB stays, sell euros.
- Respect your stop loss. EUR/USD can move 100 pips in 1 minute on a surprise announcement.
Latest news on EUR/USD: analysis, forecasts and news(20)
Économie
EUR/USD Wipes Out Its NFP Gains Ahead of the U.S. CPI Release
The euro-dollar exchange rate has fallen back to 1.1437 after giving up its NFP gains. The market is holding its breath ahead of this week's U.S. inflation report.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 12 jours
Économie
Kevin Warsh promises the Fed will remain unyielding in the face of inflation
The Fed's new chair warns: zero tolerance for inflation above 2%. A clear signal to the markets, which had been anticipating easing.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 14 jours
Forex
The dollar is down for the week following the release of U.S. employment figures
Disappointing U.S. employment data is causing the dollar to fall and pushing back the prospect of another Fed rate hike. The EUR/USD is benefiting from this.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 15 jours
Économie
The Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged despite bets on a rate hike
UBS expects the Fed to hold rates steady despite market expectations of a rate hike. Kevin Warsh downplays the inflation risk, but traders remain hesitant.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 15 jours
Économie
Eurozone inflation falls more than expected, putting the brakes on the ECB
Inflation in the eurozone is slowing more than expected. The European Central Bank may adopt a more cautious stance in the coming months.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 17 jours
Crypto
Bitcoin Holds Above $60,000 Despite ETF Redemptions
Bitcoin is holding steady above $60,000 as ETFs see massive outflows and expectations regarding the Fed weigh on market sentiment.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 20 jours
Économie
Eurozone households are betting on a decline in inflation
The ECB survey shows that eurozone consumers now expect lower inflation in 2027. This marks a major psychological turning point for the euro and interest rates.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 22 jours
Économie
Gold Falls to a 7-Month Low Against the Dollar, Boosted by the Fed
Gold hits its lowest level since November 2025 following the Fed's hawkish signals. The dollar is taking advantage of this to dominate the foreign exchange market.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 23 jours
Forex
Gold Retreats Toward $4,000 as the Dollar Gains Ground
The yellow metal is losing ground under pressure from a dollar bolstered by expectations of monetary tightening by the Fed.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 24 jours
Forex
Trump and Meloni Clash Over Italy's Stance on Iran
The U.S. president and the Italian prime minister are trading sharp criticism over Rome's stance on the conflict in Iran. The markets are watching closely.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 27 jours
Économie
Citigroup Rules Out Fed Rate Cuts and Targets September 2026
The New York-based bank is revising its strategy in response to the Federal Reserve's tightening. The markets will have to wait until the fall of 2026 to see rates fall.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 30 jours
Forex
The dollar hits a two-month high against the yen, which is plummeting
The dollar is climbing to its highest level in two months as expectations of a Fed rate hike grow. The Japanese yen is taking a hit.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 30 jours
Économie
According to Simkus, the ECB is preparing for at least one rate hike
Gediminas Simkus, a member of the ECB’s Governing Council, announced that at least one more rate hike is on the way. Monetary tightening continues.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 1 mois
Forex
The dollar takes a breather following the historic peace agreement
The dollar has paused its rally following the announcement of a major peace agreement. The yen remains stable following the BoJ's rate hike.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 1 mois
Forex
Trump could spend $350 million to save Republican Texas
The Republican Party is concerned about a possible defeat in Texas. Trump has a record war chest of $350 million to turn the tide.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 1 mois
Économie
U.S. inflation tops 4%, putting pressure on Bitcoin and gold
U.S. inflation has surpassed the 4% mark, and analysts predict increasing pressure on Bitcoin and gold. Nervous markets are anticipating a response from the Fed.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 1 mois
Économie
Gold falls as the Fed stands firm on interest rates
Gold has fallen 4% in 24 hours and dropped below $4,150 an ounce. The reason: the Fed’s continued restrictive monetary policy, which is weighing heavily on precious metals.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 1 mois
Économie
The dollar climbs to a two-month high as the Fed lies in wait
The dollar has reached its highest level since early April. Markets are now betting that the Federal Reserve will resume raising interest rates.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 1 mois
Économie
Gold falls against the dollar despite the crisis between the United States and Iran
Gold is losing ground against a dollar bolstered by expectations of a hawkish Fed. The Iran-U.S. crisis is no longer enough to prop up the price of gold.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 1 mois
Frequently asked questions
What's the value of 1 pip on EUR/USD?+
On a standard lot (€100,000), 1 pip = $10. On a mini lot (€10,000), 1 pip = $1. On a micro lot (€1,000), 1 pip = $0.10. It's independent of the EUR/USD rate itself.
What's the best time to trade EUR/USD?+
The best hours are the London-New York overlap: 8am-11am EST. That's when volumes and volatility peak. Avoid Asian hours (6pm-1am EST) where spreads are often wider.
Will EUR/USD rise in 2026?+
Nobody can predict with certainty. Bullish factors: Fed rate cuts, eurozone recovery. Bearish factors: strong US growth, European energy crisis. Check our regular analysis in the news section below.
What's the difference between EUR/USD and USD/EUR?+
USD/EUR doesn't officially exist. By convention, the quote is always EUR/USD (euro is the base currency). If EUR/USD = 1.08, that means 1 euro = 1.08 dollars.
Why is EUR/USD the most traded pair?+
Because euro and dollar together represent ~60% of world GDP. Major central banks (Fed, ECB) publish data in near real-time, both zones have mature financial markets, and the pair is highly liquid (very tight spreads).