Économie
Will the ECB raise interest rates again in 2026?
As inflation remains stubbornly high in the eurozone, the question of another ECB rate hike is resurfacing. We break down the signals.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 8 jours
Inflation in France: figures, impact and solutions
Inflation remains the #1 topic for your purchasing power and savings. Here we decode the latest INSEE figures, ECB decisions, and most importantly how to protect your savings. No fluff, concrete numbers.
Where does France's inflation stand?
INSEE publishes inflation (Consumer Price Index, CPI) at 2 dates:
- Provisional estimate at month-end
- Final figure mid-next-month
Core inflation (excluding energy and food) is monitored by the ECB to decide rate policy. Official target: 2%. Each release can move EUR/USD 30 to 80 pips.
Concrete impact on your savings
If inflation is 3% and your Livret A is 3%: your savings don't lose but don't gain either. If inflation is 4.5% and your account is 3%: you lose 1.5% purchasing power per year, i.e. €1,500 on €100,000 of savings.
Investments that protect against inflation: • Inflation-linked bonds (TIPS, OATi) • Physical gold and gold ETFs • Defensive sector stocks (healthcare, basic consumer goods) • Real estate (but has its own cycle)
Those that suffer: • Livret A / LDDS if inflation > rate • Euro-denominated life insurance funds • Classic fixed-rate bonds
ECB, policy rates and inflation
The ECB adjusts its policy rates to steer inflation. Mechanism:
- Inflation too high → ECB hikes rates → credit gets more expensive → consumption slows → prices stabilize.
- Inflation too low or recession → ECB cuts rates → cheaper credit → stimulates consumption.
Problem: the effect takes 6 to 18 months. And sometimes inflation comes from out-of-control factors (energy, war, supply chain) that rates don't fix.
ECB meetings every 6 weeks. Christine Lagarde and Executive Board statements can move markets.
Latest news on Inflation in France: figures, impact and solutions(20)
Économie
EUR/USD Wipes Out Its NFP Gains Ahead of the U.S. CPI Release
The euro-dollar exchange rate has fallen back to 1.1437 after giving up its NFP gains. The market is holding its breath ahead of this week's U.S. inflation report.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 12 jours
Économie
Kevin Warsh promises the Fed will remain unyielding in the face of inflation
The Fed's new chair warns: zero tolerance for inflation above 2%. A clear signal to the markets, which had been anticipating easing.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 14 jours
Économie
The Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged despite bets on a rate hike
UBS expects the Fed to hold rates steady despite market expectations of a rate hike. Kevin Warsh downplays the inflation risk, but traders remain hesitant.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 15 jours
Économie
Eurozone inflation falls more than expected, putting the brakes on the ECB
Inflation in the eurozone is slowing more than expected. The European Central Bank may adopt a more cautious stance in the coming months.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 17 jours
Forex
The RBA Takes a Tougher Stance on Persistent Inflation in Australia
Christopher Kent, deputy governor of the RBA, warns that the Australian central bank could take a tougher stance on inflation. A major turning point for the AUD.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 19 jours
Économie
Eurozone households are betting on a decline in inflation
The ECB survey shows that eurozone consumers now expect lower inflation in 2027. This marks a major psychological turning point for the euro and interest rates.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 22 jours
Économie
Tokyo Inflation Accelerates in June, Reigniting the BoJ Debate
Inflation in Tokyo rose in June, driven by energy prices. This acceleration is fueling renewed speculation about monetary tightening by the Bank of Japan.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 22 jours
Matières Premières
Eurozone bond yields are rising along with oil prices
The cancellation of U.S.-Iran negotiations is driving up crude oil prices. European bond yields are rising as a result.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 29 jours
Économie
Inflation in Japan remains under control thanks to subsidies
Official figures for May show that inflation in Japan is under control, but energy subsidies mask very real underlying pressure.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 29 jours
Économie
Citigroup Rules Out Fed Rate Cuts and Targets September 2026
The New York-based bank is revising its strategy in response to the Federal Reserve's tightening. The markets will have to wait until the fall of 2026 to see rates fall.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a 30 jours
Économie
According to Simkus, the ECB is preparing for at least one rate hike
Gediminas Simkus, a member of the ECB’s Governing Council, announced that at least one more rate hike is on the way. Monetary tightening continues.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 1 mois
Forex
Japanese inflation remains below the BoJ's target in May 2026
Japan's core inflation is expected to remain below 2% for the fourth consecutive month in May 2026. The Bank of Japan sees its target slipping further out of reach.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 1 mois
Économie
U.S. inflation tops 4%, putting pressure on Bitcoin and gold
U.S. inflation has surpassed the 4% mark, and analysts predict increasing pressure on Bitcoin and gold. Nervous markets are anticipating a response from the Fed.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 1 mois
Économie
The RBNZ Faces the Inflation-Employment Dilemma in New Zealand
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is continuing its fight against inflation despite a worrying rise in unemployment. It’s an increasingly delicate balance.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 1 mois
Économie
British companies expect a sharp slowdown in inflation
The Bank of England's latest survey shows that British businesses expect prices to rise at a much slower pace than in April. This is an important signal for future monetary policy.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 1 mois
Matières Premières
Oil prices are soaring as tensions in Iran escalate
Hostilities are escalating in Iran. Oil prices are rising as negotiations stall and military tensions reach a new peak.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 1 mois
Forex
The Reserve Bank of Australia may raise interest rates in August
Citigroup maintains its forecast that the Reserve Bank of Australia will raise rates by 25 basis points in August. Such a move could shake things up for the AUD.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 2 mois
Économie
The ECB must act quickly to tackle inflation, according to Pereira
A member of the ECB Governing Council is calling for swift action against inflation. The message comes as the EUR/USD exchange rate remains stable at 1.1658.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 2 mois
Économie
Inflation is slowing in Tokyo, complicating the BOJ's strategy
Tokyo's inflation rate in May came in below expectations. The Bank of Japan may reconsider its plan to raise interest rates in June.
Rédaction ActuTradingil y a environ 2 mois
Frequently asked questions
What's France's current inflation rate?+
INSEE publishes the figure monthly. For the exact current value, check our recent articles below. Recent historical levels in France: 5.2% in 2022, 4.9% in 2023, ~3% in 2024-2025.
Why is inflation rising in France?+
3 main factors: (1) energy price hikes (gas, electricity) partly tied to the Ukraine crisis, (2) rising wages that pass through to services, (3) post-Covid demand that outpaced supply. The ECB tries to cool this with higher rates.
How to protect against inflation?+
Diversify: inflation-linked bonds (TIPS, OATi), physical gold, defensive sector stocks (healthcare, basic goods), rental real estate. Don't leave too much cash on a savings account if inflation exceeds the rate.
What's inflation's impact on wages?+
If wages don't keep up with inflation, purchasing power falls. Example: salary +2%, inflation +4% = you lose 2% purchasing power. That's why unions negotiate indexation or raises each year.
Will inflation continue in 2026?+
Hard to say. The ECB aims for a return to 2% but energy and geopolitical shocks can disrupt everything. Follow our regular analysis to understand signals in real time.