Bitcoin is still following its 4-year cycle. A recent technical analysis points to a target of $76,000 based on historical market trends. For skeptics who thought BTC was dead after the correction, this is something to reconsider. 📊
🔍 What’s happening?
Bitcoin is currently trading around $62,919. According to analysts who have studied past cycles, this phase fits perfectly with the classic pattern observed since 2013. The famous 4-year cycle, which aligns halvings with bull and bear market phases, remains intact.
Technical analysis highlights that each post-halving cycle has historically produced a major rally between 12 and 18 months after the event. Since the last halving took place in April 2024, we are right in the expected time window for a bullish acceleration toward $76,000.
💡 Why does this matter?
For crypto traders, this analysis confirms that the market isn’t broken. Consolidation phases like the one we’re currently experiencing are normal and even necessary. They help eliminate excessive speculation before the next impulsive move.
The $76,000 target represents a 20% upside potential from current levels. This isn’t an unrealistic “moonshot,” but a target consistent with previous cycles. Altcoins like Ethereum or Solana typically follow a few weeks later once Bitcoin begins its rally.
📊 Our Take
We remain bullish on this interpretation of the cycle. Historical data doesn’t lie.
Every time the market has followed this 4-year pattern, the skeptics have been proven wrong. The current timing aligns exactly with the institutional accumulation phase we saw in 2016 and 2020 before the surges to $20,000 and then $69,000. The difference this time? U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs are absorbing record volumes, creating unprecedented structural buying pressure. For the French trader, this is a scenario where the AMF no longer has much say: these products are now accessible through ACPR-authorized brokers offering BTC contracts. The European MiCA regulation will even further strengthen the legitimacy of the crypto market by 2026.
Target: $76,000 by the end of 2026. For French traders: build your position in stages during pullbacks, target the $60,000–$62,000 range to average down, and set your partial take-profit at $75,000.
✅ Key Takeaways
- The 4-year Bitcoin cycle remains intact according to the analysis
- Technical target identified at $76,000
- Current phase is a normal post-halving consolidation period
- Bitcoin is currently trading at $62,919
- Bullish time window open through the end of 2026
What do you think? Do you still believe in the 4-year cycle, or do you think this time is different?
🔎 See also
To learn more, check out all our crypto analyses on ActuTrading Crypto 📈
Source: Specialized crypto financial press
